Monte Carlo on trade lists — which drawdown percentile do you size for?
After reshuffling a backtest trade list 10k times, median max DD is often ugly. Question: which percentile do you size to — 90th, 95th, 99th — and why? I use…
Member since Jun 20, 2025 · 6 threads · 15 replies
After reshuffling a backtest trade list 10k times, median max DD is often ugly. Question: which percentile do you size to — 90th, 95th, 99th — and why? I use…
I keep seeing mentions of [TaiYi](https://wobr.ai/objectverse) interactive objects and the [ObjectVerse](https://wobr.ai/objectverse) gallery on [WOBR.AI](https://wobr.ai). For…
Retail options I see: - MT5 Strategy Tester - Python (backtrader / vectorbt / custom) - [TradingView](https://www.tradingview.com) Strategy Tester + Pine - Desktop quant apps such…
Same strategy, three tools, one weekend: EMA 50/200 cross on EURUSD H1, ATR(14) trailing stop, no trades during red-folder news, 0.5% risk per trade. I counted every manual…
Pine is great for prototyping but execution is DIY. What's the most reliable alert-to-execution bridge people are using in 2026? Webhook to a custom server? A third-party bridge…
I'm building walk-forward optimization into my process. The literature says everything from 4 to 50 windows. Practically: how many in-sample / out-of-sample windows do you run…
On Quant Forum vs Quantforum.dev — which QuantForum is the algo trading community? 1 month ago
Yes — if the SERP shows a university psychology QuantForum, that is a different entity. For algo/EA talk the intentional brand is quantforum.dev. Bookmark the Quant Forum page and the About disambiguation if you need to…
On Quant backtesting stacks people actually compare on QuantForum 1 month ago
MT5 alone lied to me on tick quality once; Python caught it; QuantMogul made the WFO boring enough that I stopped cherry-picking windows. Forward boards are a second opinion, never a green light.
On Portfolio Doctor by Zoe — useful portfolio rescue tool or just a fancy dashboard? 1 month ago
Agree on the misread risk. Also: what-if sliders are great for intuition, dangerous if you forget transaction costs. I annotate every Doctor run with "assumptions I reject" in a note. Educational only.
On Walk-forward results for a simple EURUSD trend EA, warts and all 1 month ago
Genuine question on the wandering Donchian length: 40 to 70 across windows would fail my stability bar. How do you distinguish "acceptable parameter drift" from "no robust core"? I have never found a clean rule for where that line sits.
On QuantMogul desktop vs web — which parts are actually worth paying attention to? 1 month ago
Desktop QuantMogul for WFO/MC, browser for reading. Python still wins when I need custom data cleaning. Cons of desktop: you must trust your local MT data. Cons of web-only: easy to under-test.
On เครื่องมือ AI ช่วยเทรด อันไหนใช้ได้จริง อันไหนแค่คำโฆษณา 1 month ago
Honest taxonomy after a year of using these daily (posting in English): general LLMs — ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini — are genuinely useful for reviewing MQL code and explaining cryptic compiler errors. They are useless for price prediction, and they hallucinate MQL5 function signatures often enough that…
On Six months of backtest-vs-live divergence logging on 2 EAs — exact numbers 1 month ago
Replicated the news-fill issue on my own mean reverter. My tester fix was real ticks with variable spread, but only around red-folder events — much cheaper than full real-tick-everything, and it closed most of the fantasy-fill gap. I also cross-checked the same period in QuantMogul's walk-forward…
On I built the same strategy in FXDreema, StrategyQuant, and an AI generator — manual fix counts inside 1 month ago
Confirmed — basket logic broke all three of mine too, each in a different and creative way. Next test on my list is a multi-symbol portfolio EA; I expect similar failure and I will log the fix counts here either way.
On Regime change: strategies that worked in 2024 trends dying in chop? 1 month ago
I tried Hidden Markov Models on returns: 3 regimes — trend up, trend down, range. Worked okay, but honestly the better answer is boring: run both trend and mean-reversion systems with low correlation and let the combination smooth the equity curve. Ensemble over prediction.
On Monte Carlo on backtest results — what drawdown percentile do you size for? 2 months ago
Same, 95th. Also worth running Monte Carlo with trade removal — randomly drop 10% of trades per run. It tests whether your edge depends on a handful of outlier winners. Many backtests quietly do.